Autumn 2002 (10.3)
Pages
26-27
Analysis - War On Terrorism
Failing
to Grapple with the Political Dimension
by Zbigniew Brzezinski
Other
articles related to Zbigniew
Brzezinski
published in Azerbaijan International:
(1) Geopolitically
Speaking: Interview with Zbigniew Brzezinski - Betty Blair
(2) The
Caucasus and New Geo-Political Realities: How the West Can Support
the Region - Zbigniew Brzezinski
(3) Geopolitically
Speaking: Russia's "Sphere of Influence" - Chechnya
and Beyond - Zbigniew Brzezinski
(4) Russia
as Empire - Quote by Zbigniew Brzezinski
(5) Freedom
is Fragile - Quote by Zbigniew Brzezinski
(6) Honorary
Doctorate Bestowed on Brzezinski - Zbigniew Brzezinski
This opinion piece is one of many articles recently published
by the U.S. media to mark the first-year anniversary of terrorist
attacks on New York's World Trade Center and the Pentagon in
Washington, D.C. on September 11, 2001. Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski's
article appeared in the New York Times on September 1, 2002 in
a slightly abbreviated form with the title, "Confronting
Anti-American Grievances".
Dr. Brzezinski was National Security Advisor to U.S. President
Jimmy Carter (1977-1981). In 1981 he was awarded the Presidential
Medal of Freedom for his role in the normalization of U.S.-Chinese
relations and for his contributions to the human rights and national
security policies of the United States.
He currently serves as Counselor at the Center for Strategic
and International Studies and Professor of American Foreign Policy
at the School of Advanced International Studies (CSIS) at Johns
Hopkins University in Washington, D.C. He is on the Honorary
Council of Advisors of the U.S.-Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce
and has visited Azerbaijan on several occasions.
______
A victory in the war against terrorism
can never be registered in a formal act of surrender. Instead,
it will only be divined from the gradual waning of terrorist
acts. Any further strikes against Americans will thus be a painful
reminder that the war has not yet been won. Sadly, a main reason
will be America's reluctance to focus on the political roots
of the terrorist atrocity of Sept. 11. - Zbigniew Brzezinski
The U.S. war on terrorism
is facing the growing risk of being hijacked by several governments,
each with its own repressive agenda. If such hijacking should
succeed, the U.S. may not ever win that war. For a while, the
rhetorical smokescreen of "whoever is not with us is against
us" may delay the public's eventual awareness that, instead
of leading an effective global coalition against terrorism, the
United States could itself become the increasingly isolated target
of future acts of terrorism.
The U.S. Administration's definition of the challenge that America
confronts has been cast largely in semi-religious and abstract
terms. The public is being told over and over again that terrorism
is "evil" - which undoubtedly it is - and that "evildoers"
are responsible for it - which doubtless they are. But beyond
these justifiable condemnations, there is a historical void.
It is as if terrorism was suspended in outer space as an abstract
phenomenon, with ruthless terrorists acting under some Satanic
inspiration unrelated to any other motivation.
U.S. President George W. Bush has correctly eschewed identifying
terrorism with Islam as a whole. Indeed, he has been careful
to stress that Islam as such is not at fault, though Islamic
extremists or fundamentalists may be. However some supporters
of the Administration have been less careful about such distinctions.
They quickly launched a campaign to the effect that, while no
specific political causes are at play, Islamic culture as a whole
is so hostile to the West, and especially to democracy, that
it has created a fertile soil for terrorist hatred of America.
The Real Culprit
Missing from much of the public debate
is discussion of the simple fact that behind every terrorist
act is a specific political antecedent. Of course, such an analysis
justifies neither the perpetrator nor his political cause. Nonetheless,
the fact is that almost all terrorist activity in one way or
another has originated from some political conflict and, furthermore,
is sustained by it. This is true as well of the IRA in Northern
Ireland, the Basques in Spain, the Palestinians in the West Bank
and Gaza, the Muslims in Kashmir and others.
Left:
Grief of War by Adalat Mammadov
for the Unocal Poster Contest "Azerbaijan Today" 1995
In the case of Sept. 11, it does not require deep analysis to
note-given the identity of the perpetrators - that the political
history of the Middle East has something to do with the hatred
of Middle Eastern terrorists for America. The specifics of the
region's political history need not be dissected too precisely
because terrorists presumably do not delve deeply into historic
texts before embarking on a terrorist career. Rather, it is the
emotional context of felt, observed, or historically recounted
political grievances that shape the fanatical pathology of terrorists
and eventually trigger their inhumane actions.
American involvement in the Middle East is clearly the main impulse
of the hatred that has been directed at America - just as, for
example, English involvement in Ireland has precipitated the
IRA's frequent targeting of London, and even of the Royal Family
itself. The British have recognized this simple fact and have
tried to respond to it on both military and political levels.
In contrast, America has shown a remarkable reluctance to confront
the more complex historical dimensions of terrorism. Instead,
there has been an inclination to stress abstract clichés,
such as that terrorists "hate freedom" or that their
religious background makes them despise Western culture.
Yet there is no escaping the fact that modern political history
of the Middle East, and thus also Arab political emotions, have
been shaped by the region's encounter with French and British
colonialism, by the defeat of the Arab effort to prevent the
appearance of Israel and by the subsequent American support for
Israel and its treatment of the Palestinians, as well as by the
direct injection of American power into the region. The last
has been perceived by the more fanatical elements in the region
as offensive to the sacred religious purity of Saudi Arabian
custodianship of Islam's holy places, and as hurtful of the welfare
of the Iraqi people. The religious aspect adds fervor to their
zeal, but it should be noted that some of the September 11 terrorists
lived a notably non-religious lifestyle. Their attack on the
World Trade Center had thus a definite political cast to it.
To win the war on terrorism, one must therefore set two goals:
first to destroy all terrorists, and second, to begin a political
effort that focuses on the conditions that precipitated their
emergence. That is precisely what the British are doing in Ulster,
the Spaniards in Basque country, and what the Russians are being
urged to do in Chechnya. Doing so implies neither propitiation
nor concessions to the terrorists, but it is an imperative component
of a strategy designed both to eliminate and to isolate the terrorist
underworld.
Consider the terrorist threats that the United States faces today
and compare them to the dilemmas that America confronted domestically
in the 1960s and 1970s. At that time, American society was shaken
by violence undertaken by groups like the Ku Klux Klan (often
in semi-autonomous klaverns), White Citizens' Councils, the Black
Panthers and the Symbionese Liberation Army. Without the civil
rights legislation and the concomitant changes in America's social
views on race relations, the challenge that these extreme organizations
posed might have lasted much longer and become even more menacing.
The rather narrow, almost one-dimensional definition of the terrorist
threat favored by the Bush administration poses additionally
the special risk that foreign powers will also seize upon the
word "terrorism" to promote their own agendas, as President
Vladimir Putin of Russia, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon of Israel,
Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee of India and President Jiang
Zemin of China are doing. For each of them, the disembodied American
definition of the terrorist challenge has been both expedient
and convenient.
Hijacked War
When speaking to Americans, Putin and Sharon can hardly utter
a sentence without the "T" word in it in order to transform
America's struggle against terrorism into a joint struggle against
their particular Muslim neighbors. Mr. Putin sees an opportunity
to deflect Islamic hostility away from Russia despite its own
crimes in Chechnya and earlier in Afghanistan.
Mr. Sharon quite obviously would welcome a deterioration in United
States relations with Saudi Arabia and, perhaps, even American
military action against Iraq while gaining a free hand to repress
the Palestinians. Hindu fanatics in India are also quite eager
to conflate Islam in general with terrorism in Kashmir. Not to
be outdone, the Chinese quickly succeeded in persuading the Bush
Administration to list an obscure Uighur Muslim separatist group
in Xinjiang province as a terrorist organization with ties to
al-Qaeda.
Losing Allies
For America, the potential risk is that its nonpolitically defined
war on terrorism may thus be hijacked and diverted to other ends.
The consequences would be dangerous. If America comes to be viewed
by allies in Europe and Asia as failing to address terrorism
in its broader and deeper dimensions - and if it is also seen
by them as uncritically embracing intolerant suppression of ethnic
or national aspirations - global support for America will drastically
decline. America's ability to maintain a broad democratic, anti-terrorist
coalition will suffer gravely. The prospects of international
support for an eventual political or military confrontation with
Iraq will also be drastically diminished.
Such an isolated America is likely to face even more threats
from vengeful terrorists who have decided to blame America for
any outrages committed by its self-appointed allies. A victory
in the war against terrorism can never be registered in a formal
act of surrender. Instead, it will only be divined from the gradual
waning of terrorist acts. Any further strikes against Americans
will thus be a painful reminder that the war has not yet been
won. Sadly, a main reason will be America's reluctance to focus
on the political roots of the terrorist atrocity of Sept. 11.
______
Zbigniew Brzezinski (1928-)
has authored numerous books including: "Out of Control:
Global Turmoil on the Eve of the 21st Century"; "The
Grand Failure: The Birth and Death of Communism in the 20th Century"
; "Game Plan: A Geostrategic Framework for the Conduct of
the U.S.-Soviet Contest"; "Power and Principle: The
Memoirs of the National Security Advisor, 1977-1981"; "The
Fragile Blossom: Crisis and Change in Japan"; "Between
Two Ages: America's Role in the Technetronic Era"; "The
Soviet Bloc: Unity and Conflict"; and "The Grand Chessboard:
American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives" .
Articles by and about Brzezinski that have appeared in AI include:
"Geopolitically
Speaking: Interview with Zbigniew Brzezinski" by Betty
Blair, AI
3.4 (Winter 1995); "The
Caucasus and New Geopolitical Realities: How the West Can Support
the Region," AI
5.2 (Summer 1997); and "Geopolitically
Speaking: Russia's 'Sphere of Influence' - Chechnya and Beyond,"
AI
8.1 (Spring 2000).
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